• Greater economic stability as trade concerns ease. While growth remains subdued, major markets are expected to see continued economic expansion in 2025. The outlook for next year is more positive, supported by lower average interest rates and a more predictable global trading environment.

• Global real estate markets remain resilient through the third quarter. Pent-up industrial demand is building, with activity rising in several markets. Retailers continue to expand in core locations, while global office leasing in 2025 is at its highest level in six years.

• Investor sentiment is improving notably, resulting in a more competitive transactional market. Direct investment volumes growth continues to rebound and accelerated during the third quarter, signaling investors’ increased confidence in the market.

Direct investment activity reached US$213 billion in the third quarter of 2025, –an increase of 17% year-over-year. Year-to-date transaction volumes have now increased by 21% compared to 2024. The Americas posted particularly strong gains as transaction activity rose 26% in the third quarter led by the United States. EMEA investment volumes were 19% higher than last year in Q3, with the UK and Germany the two most liquid markets while Spain, Sweden and Belgium all posted robust growth. Trends were more nuanced in Asia Pacific where direct investment declined by 8% year-over-year. Activity in Japan remained strong despite the normalization of borrowing rates, with volumes rising by 16% year-over-year.

Cross-border investment has continued to recover in spite of geopolitical pressures, with third quarter growth of 7% year-over-year and year-to-date volumes 26% higher. The share of cross-border flows into each of the regions has remained relatively steady so far in 2025.

Office leasing demand continued to increase moderately from the previous year during Q3. Expansionary demand in North America pushed take-up higher, while longer deal timelines in Europe and Asia Pacific contributed to lower activity. Following on from a strong first half, global volumes over the first nine months of the year were at their highest level since 2019.

Logistics leasing activity improved in North America and Europe during Q3, although greater occupier caution was evident in some Asia Pacific markets. New supply has fallen significantly from peak levels and will continue to decline through 2026. Vacancy is already contracting in Asia Pacific, while availability is likely to peak and start declining in both North America and Europe over the next 12 months.

Future trends: Demand returning despite ongoing supply chain uncertainty

Short-term: The implications of new trade policies will continue to impact planning and inventory strategies into 2026 and beyond. Demand from 3PL and distribution companies will keep rising to support more agile outsourced distribution management, while deferred decisions will gradually return to the market.

Long-term: The longer-term shape of trade policies and supply chain reconfiguration is still evolving, which will slow overall decision-making. However, delayed transactions are adding to the future pipeline, while drivers including the regionalization of higher-value manufacturing, growing defence spending, rising e-commerce and urbanization are expected to underpin future growth.

The living sector is on track for a strong 2025, with investment volumes on course to reach pre-Covid averages. The U.S. is leading the way with the third quarter notching the highest deal activity of the year. Volumes have also risen strongly in Europe and Asia Pacific , where strong demand for purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) assets has been evident.

Future trends: 2025 set to be strong year for global living investment

Short-term: A strong Q3 and healthy pipeline of multifamily opportunities in the U.S and student accommodation portfolios in Europe and Asia Pacific means that living investment in 2025 should reach pre-Covid levels for the first time in over three years. Apartment construction challenges in Europe and signs of slowing rental demand in the U.S. may weigh on the sector’s growth trajectory next year.

Long-term: Continued housing shortages relative to the long-term growth in demand should see living remain the world’s largest real estate investment sector over the cycle. Many established markets will see continued emphasis on asset repositioning towards higher density operational living types such as PBSA and coliving.

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